Amaxabiso aphezulu ezolimo kwiminyaka yakutshanje aye abangela ukuba amafama ehlabathini lonke atyale ukutya okuziinkozo kunye nembewu yeoli.Nangona kunjalo, impembelelo ye-El Nino, kunye nezithintelo zokuthumela ngaphandle kwamanye amazwe kunye nokukhula okuqhubekayo kwimfuno ye-biofuel, icebisa ukuba abathengi banokujongana nemeko yokubonelela ngo-2024.
Emva kweenzuzo ezinamandla kumaxabiso engqolowa, umbona kunye neembotyi zesoya kule minyaka imbalwa idlulileyo, u-2023 ubone ukwehla okuphawulekayo njengoko izinto zokwenziwa koLwandle oluMnyama zisivalela lula kunye nethemba lokudodobala koqoqosho lwehlabathi, abahlalutyi kunye nabarhwebi bathi.Ngo-2024, nangona kunjalo, amaxabiso ahlala esemngciphekweni wokubonelela ngezothuso kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso okutya.U-Ole Howie uthi ukutya okuziinkozo kuya kuphucuka ngo-2023 njengoko ezinye iindawo ezivelisa imveliso zisenyusa imveliso, kodwa azikaphumi emahlathini.Ngee-arhente zemozulu zixela kwangaphambili ukuba i-El Nino iya kuhlala ubuncinci kude kube ngu-Epreli okanye ngoMeyi kulo nyaka uzayo, umbona waseBrazil uphantse wawa, kwaye iChina ithenga ingqolowa eninzi kunye nombona kwiimarike zamazwe ngamazwe.
Imodeli yemozulu ye-El Nino, eye yazisa imozulu eyomileyo kwiindawo ezininzi zase-Asiya kulo nyaka kwaye inokuhlala kude kube kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2024, ithetha ukuba abanye abathengisi abakhulu kunye nabathumeli bangaphandle bajongene nemingcipheko yokubonelela ngerayisi, ingqolowa, ioli yesundu kunye nezinye izinto zolimo.
Abarhwebi kunye namagosa alindele ukuba imveliso yerayisi yase-Asia iwele kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2024, njengoko iimeko zokutyala ezomileyo kunye nokunciphisa ukugcinwa kwamanzi kwiindawo zokugcina amanzi kunokukhokelela ekuvuneni okuphantsi.Ubonelelo lwerayisi yehlabathi belusele luqinile kulo nyaka emva kokuba i-El Nino icuthile imveliso kwaye yabangela i-India, eyona ndawo iphezulu kwihlabathi, ukuba ithintele ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle.Kanye njengokuba ezinye iinkozo zawa, amaxabiso erayisi abuyele kwi-15-year highs kwiveki ephelileyo, kunye namaxabiso acatshulwe ngabanye abathumela ngaphandle kwe-Asia ukuya kuma-40-45 ekhulwini.
E-Indiya, umlimi wengqolowa wesibini ngobukhulu kwihlabathi, isityalo esilandelayo sengqolowa sikwaphantsi kwesisongelo sokunqongophala kwemvula okunokunyanzela i-Indiya ukuba ifune ukuthengwa kumazwe angaphandle okokuqala kwiminyaka emithandathu njengoko isixa sengqolowa siwele kwelona nqanaba lisezantsi. iminyaka esixhenxe.
EOstreliya, umthengisi wengqolowa wesibini ngobukhulu ehlabathini, iinyanga zemozulu eshushu zonakalise izivuno kulo nyaka, ziphelisa umyinge weminyaka emithathu werekhodi lesivuno.Amafama ase-Australia kunokwenzeka ukuba ahlwayele ingqolowa kumhlaba owomileyo ngo-Aprili ozayo.Ukulahleka kwengqolowa eOstreliya kunokubangela ukuba abathengi abafana neTshayina neIndonesia bafune ingqolowa engakumbi kuMntla Merika, eYurophu nakuLwandle oluMnyama.I-Commerzbank ikholelwa ukuba imeko yokubonelela ngengqolowa inokuba mandundu ngo-2023/24, njengoko iimpahla ezithunyelwa ngaphandle ezivela kumazwe avelisa imveliso zinokucuthwa kakhulu.
Indawo eqaqambileyo ye-2024 iphakamileyo yombona, ingqolowa kunye ne-soybean yokuveliswa kwemveliso ye-soya eMzantsi Melika, nangona isimo sezulu saseBrazil sihlala sixhalabile.Ukunetha kakuhle kwemvula kwiindawo zezolimo zaseArgentina kuncede ukukhulisa imbotyi yesoya, umbona kunye nengqolowa.Ngenxa yemvula eqhubekayo kwithafa lengca lasePambas ukususela ekupheleni kuka-Okthobha, iipesenti ezingama-95 zombona otyalwe kwangoko kunye neepesenti ezingama-75 zesityalo seembotyi zesoya zibonwe zibalaseleyo.EBrazil, izityalo zika-2024 zisendleleni yokuba kufutshane namanqanaba erekhodi, nangona uqikelelo lwelizwe lweembotyi zesoya kunye nombona luye lwanqunyulwa kwiiveki zamva nje ngenxa yemozulu eyomileyo.
Ukuveliswa kweoli yesundu yehlabathi jikelele kunokwenzeka ukuba yehle ngenxa yemozulu eyomileyo eziswa ngu-El Nino, exhasa amaxabiso eoli etyiwayo.Amaxabiso eoli yesundu aphantsi ngaphezu kwe-6% ukuza kuthi ga ngoku ngo-2023. Nangona imveliso yeoli yesundu iyancipha, imfuno yeoli yesundu ikhula kwi-biodiesel kunye namashishini okutya.
Ukusuka kwimbono yembali, izinto eziziinkozo zehlabathi kunye nembewu ye-oyile ziqinile, i-Northern Hemisphere ibonakala ibona imodeli yemozulu eqinile ye-El Nino ngexesha lokukhula okokuqala ukususela ngo-2015, idola yase-US kufuneka iqhubeke nokuhla kwayo kutshanje, ngelixa imfuno yehlabathi kufuneka iphinde iqalise indlela yayo yokukhula kwexesha elide.
Ixesha lokuposa: Mar-18-2024