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Ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwemichiza kukhula nge-23% CAGR kwisithuba seminyaka emine: Ishishini laseIndiya leagrochemical lingalugcina njani uHlumo olomeleleyo?

Phantsi kwemvelaphi yoxinzelelo lokuhla koqoqosho lwehlabathi kunye nokuncipha kwempahla, ishishini lemichiza yehlabathi ngo-2023 liye ladibana novavanyo lwempumelelo iyonke, kwaye imfuno yeemveliso zemichiza iye yasilela ngokubanzi ukuhlangabezana nokulindelweyo.

Ishishini lemichiza laseYurophu litsala nzima phantsi koxinzelelo olubini lweendleko kunye nemfuno, kwaye imveliso yayo icelwa umngeni kakhulu yimicimbi yesakhiwo.Ukususela ekuqaleni kwe-2022, imveliso yeekhemikhali kwi-EU27 ibonise ukwehla okuqhubekayo kwenyanga-ngenyanga.Nangona oku kuncipha kwehlile kwisiqingatha sesibini sika-2023, kunye nokuchaneka okuncinci okulandelelanayo kwimveliso, indlela yokubuyisela kwimeko yemveliso yeekhemikhali ihlala igcwele imiqobo.Oku kubandakanya ukukhula kwemfuno ebuthathaka, amaxabiso aphezulu ommandla wamandla (amaxabiso erhasi yendalo asemalunga nama-50% ngaphezulu kwamanqanaba ka-2021), kunye noxinzelelo oluqhubekayo kwiindleko ze-feedstock.Ukongeza, kulandela imingeni yobonelelo olubangelwa ngumba woLwandle oluBomvu ngomhla wama-23 kweyoMnga kulo nyaka uphelileyo, imeko yangoku yezopolitiko kuMbindi Mpuma ikwisiphithiphithi, esinokuba nefuthe ekubuyiselweni kwakhona koshishino lwemichiza yehlabathi.

Nangona iinkampani zeekhemikhali zehlabathi zinethemba ngononophelo malunga nokuchacha kwemarike ngo-2024, elona xesha lokufumana kwakhona alikacaci.Iinkampani ze-agrochemical ziyaqhubeka nokulumka malunga noluhlu lwemveliso yamayeza enziwe afana nalawo enziwe ngabenzi behlabathi, nto leyo eya kuba luxinzelelo kuninzi luka-2024.

Imarike yeekhemikhali zaseIndiya ikhula ngokukhawuleza

Imarike yeekhemikhali zaseIndiya ikhula ngamandla.NgokukaManufacturing Today's analysis, imakethi yeekhemikhali zaseIndiya kulindeleke ukuba ikhule ngesantya esihlanganisiweyo sonyaka sokukhula nge-2.71% kule minyaka mihlanu izayo, ngengeniso iyonke kulindeleke ukuba inyuke iye kuthi ga kwiibhiliyoni zeedola ezili-143.3.Kwangaxeshanye, inani leenkampani kulindeleke ukuba linyuke liye kuthi ga kwi-15,730 ngo-2024, lidibanise ngakumbi isikhundla esibalulekileyo saseIndiya kushishino lweekhemikhali zehlabathi.Ngokunyuka kotyalo-mali lwasekhaya nolwamanye amazwe kunye nokwandisa amandla okwenza izinto ezintsha kushishino, ishishini lemichiza yaseIndiya kulindeleke ukuba lidlale indima ebalulekileyo kwinqanaba lehlabathi.

Ushishino lweekhemikhali zaseIndiya lubonise ukusebenza okuqinileyo koqoqosho olukhulu.Ukuma okuvulelekileyo kurhulumente wase-Indiya, kunye nokusekwa kwendlela yolwamkelo oluzenzekelayo, kuye kwaphucula ngakumbi ukuzithemba kwabatyali-zimali kwaye kwafaka umoya omtsha kwimpumelelo eqhubekayo yoshishino lwemichiza.Phakathi kuka-2000 no-2023, ishishini lemichiza lase-Indiya litsale utyalo-mali oluthe ngqo lwangaphandle (i-FDI) lwe-21.7 yeebhiliyoni zeedola, kubandakanywa utyalo-mali olucwangcisiweyo lwezigebenga zemichiza yezizwe ngezizwe ezifana ne-BASF, i-Covestro kunye ne-Saudi Aramco.

Izinga lokukhula elihlanganisiweyo lonyaka kwishishini le-agrochemical yaseIndiya liya kufikelela kwi-9% ukusuka ngo-2025 ukuya ku-2028.

Kwiminyaka yakutshanje, imakethi ye-agrochemical yaseIndiya kunye noshishino olukhawulezileyo lophuhliso, urhulumente waseIndiya uthatha ishishini leagrochemical njengelinye "lamashishini ali-12 anamandla okukhokela kwihlabathi eIndiya", kwaye akhuthaze ngenkuthalo i- "Make in India" ukwenza lula Ukulawulwa kweshishini lokubulala izitshabalalisi, ukomeleza ulwakhiwo lweziseko ezingundoqo, kunye nokuzama ukukhuthaza i-Indiya ukuba ibe liziko lemveliso ye-agrochemical yehlabathi kunye neziko lokuthumela ngaphandle.

Ngokutsho kweSebe lezoRhwebo laseIndiya, ukuthunyelwa kwe-agrochemicals yaseIndiya ngo-2022 yayizibhiliyoni ezi-5.5 zeedola, idlula i-United States (i-5.4 yeebhiliyoni zeedola) ukuba ibe lilizwe lesibini ngobukhulu kumazwe angaphandle kweekhemikhali zezolimo.

Ukongeza, ingxelo yamva nje evela kwi-Rubix Data Sciences iqikelela ukuba i-Indian agrochemicals industry kulindeleke ukuba ibe nokukhula okubonakalayo ngexesha le-fiscal year 2025 ukuya ku-2028, kunye nezinga lokukhula lonyaka elihlanganisiweyo le-9%.Oku kukhula kuya kuqhuba ubungakanani bemarike yoshishino ukusuka kwi-10.3 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ukuya kwi-14.5 yeebhiliyoni zeedola.

Phakathi kwe-FY2019 kunye no-2023, ukuthunyelwa ngaphandle kwe-agrochemical yaseIndiya kukhule ngesantya sokukhula sonyaka esihlanganisiweyo se-14% ukuya kuthi ga kwi-5.4 yeebhiliyoni zeedola kwi-FY2023.Ngeli xesha, ukukhula kokungenisa elizweni kuye kwathotywa, kukhula kwi-CAGR yeepesenti ezi-6 kuphela ngexesha elinye.Ukuxinana kweemakethi ezinkulu zaseIndiya zokuthumela ngaphandle kwimveliso yeekhemikhali ziye zanda kakhulu kule minyaka yakutsha nje, amazwe amahlanu aphambili (iBrazil, i-USA, iVietnam, iTshayina kunye neJapan) enza ingxelo malunga ne-65% yokuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle, ukwanda okubonakalayo ukusuka kuma-48% kwi-FY2019.Ukuthunyelwa kumazwe angaphandle kwemichiza yokutshabalalisa ukhula, icandelo elibalulekileyo leekhemikhali zezolimo, likhule kwi-CAGR ye-23% phakathi kwe-FY2019 kunye no-2023, inyusa isabelo sayo sokuthumela ngaphandle kwe-agrochemicals yaseIndiya ukusuka kwi-31% ukuya kwi-41%.

Ngombulelo kwimpembelelo entle yohlengahlengiso lwe-inventri kunye nokunyuka kwemveliso, iinkampani zeekhemikhali zaseIndiya kulindeleke ukuba zibone ukwanda kokuthumela ngaphandle.Nangona kunjalo, oku kukhula kulindeleke ukuba kuhlale kungaphantsi kwinqanaba lokubuyisela okulindelekileyo kwi-2025 yemali emva kokuhla okufunyenwe kwi-fiscal 2024. Ukuba ukubuyiswa koqoqosho lwaseYurophu kuyaqhubeka kucotha okanye kuguquguqukayo, imbonakalo yokuthumela ngaphandle kweenkampani zeekhemikhali zase-India kwi-FY2025 ngokuqinisekileyo iya kuqiniseka. jongana nemingeni.Ilahleko yokhuphiswano kushishino lweekhemikhali ze-EU kunye nokonyuka ngokubanzi kokuzithemba phakathi kweenkampani zaseIndiya kunokubonelela ngethuba kwishishini lemichiza laseIndiya ukuba lithathe indawo engcono kwimarike yehlabathi.


Ixesha lokuposa: Jun-14-2024