Kutshanje, ukuvalwa kwerayisi eIndiya kunye nemeko ye-El Niño zinokuchaphazelaamaxabiso erayisi kwihlabathi liphelaNgokutsho kwe-BMI engaphantsi kweFitch, imiqathango yokuthumela irayisi ngaphandle eIndiya iya kuhlala isebenza de kube semva konyulo lwepalamente oluqala ngo-Epreli ukuya kuMeyi, oluya kuxhasa amaxabiso erayisi akutshanje. Okwangoku, umngcipheko we-El Niño uya kuchaphazela namaxabiso erayisi.
Idatha ibonisa ukuba ukuthunyelwa kwerayisi eVietnam kwiinyanga ezili-11 zokuqala zalo nyaka kulindeleke ukuba ibe ziitoni ezi-7.75 ezigidi, ukunyuka kwe-16.2% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo. I-India, ethengisa irayisi kakhulu kwihlabathi liphela, inezinga eliphantsi le-5%. Ixabiso lerayisi ephekiweyo liphakathi kwe-$500 kunye ne-$507 ngetoni, eliphantse lifane neleveki ephelileyo.
Utshintsho lwemozulu kunye neziganeko zemozulu embi kakhulu nazo zinokuba nefuthe kumaxabiso erayisi kwihlabathi liphela. Umzekelo, iziganeko zemozulu embi kakhulu ezifana nezikhukula kunye nembalela zinokubangela ukwehla kwemveliso yerayisi kwiindawo ezithile, ngaloo ndlela zinyuse amaxabiso erayisi kwihlabathi liphela.
Ukongeza,ubudlelwane bokubonelela kunye nemfunokwimarike yerayisi yehlabathi nayo yinto ebalulekileyo echaphazela amaxabiso. Ukuba ukubonelela akwanelanga kwaye imfuno iyanda, amaxabiso aya kunyuka. Ngokwahlukileyo koko, ukuba kukho ukubonelela okugqithisileyo kwaye imfuno iyancipha, amaxabiso aya kwehla.
Izinto ezichaphazela umgaqo-nkqubo nazo zinokuba nefuthe kumaxabiso erayisi kwihlabathi liphela. Umzekelo, imigaqo-nkqubo karhulumente yorhwebo, imigaqo-nkqubo yenkxaso-mali yezolimo, imigaqo-nkqubo yeinshorensi yezolimo, njl.njl. zonke zinokuchaphazela ukubonelelwa kunye nemfuno yerayisi, ngaloo ndlela zichaphazele amaxabiso erayisi kwihlabathi liphela.
Ukongeza, amaxabiso erayisi kwihlabathi liphela aphenjelelwa zezinye izinto, ezifana nemeko yezopolitiko yamazwe ngamazwe kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo yorhwebo. Ukuba imeko yezopolitiko yamazwe ngamazwe inzima kwaye imigaqo-nkqubo yorhwebo iyatshintsha, inokuba nefuthe elikhulu kwimarike yerayisi yehlabathi, ngaloo ndlela ichaphazele amaxabiso erayisi kwihlabathi liphela.
Izinto ezichaphazela ixesha lonyaka kwimarike yerayisi nazo kufuneka ziqwalaselwe. Ngokubanzi, ukunikezelwa kwerayisi kufikelela kwincopho yayo ehlotyeni nasekwindla, ngelixa imfuno isanda ebusika nasentwasahlobo. Olu tshintsho lwexesha lonyaka luya kuba nefuthe elithile kumaxabiso erayisi kwihlabathi liphela.
Kukwakho umahluko kumaxabiso eentlobo ezahlukeneyo zerayisi. Umzekelo, irayisi esemgangathweni ophezulu efana nerayisi enuka kamnandi yaseThai kunye nerayisi ephekiweyo yaseIndiya enesantya sokutyumza se-5% zihlala zibiza ixabiso eliphezulu, ngelixa ezinye iintlobo zerayisi zinamaxabiso aphantsi. Olu mahluko kwiintlobo ngeentlobo luya kuba nefuthe elithile kumaxabiso erayisi.imakethi yerayisi yehlabathi.
Lilonke, amaxabiso erayisi kwihlabathi liphela aphenjelelwa zizinto ezahlukeneyo, kubandakanya utshintsho lwemozulu, ukubonelelwa kunye nemfuno, izinto zomgaqo-nkqubo, imeko yezopolitiko yamazwe ngamazwe, izinto zexesha lonyaka, kunye nomahluko kwiintlobo ngeentlobo.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Disemba-04-2023