Kwiinyanga zakutshanje, imakethi yerayisi yamazwe ngamazwe ibijongene novavanyo oluphindwe kabini lokukhuselwa korhwebo kunye nemozulu ye-El Niño, nto leyo ekhokelele ekunyukeni okukhulu kwamaxabiso erayisi yamazwe ngamazwe. Ingqwalasela yemakethi kwirayisi ikwadlule neyeentlobo ezifana nengqolowa nombona. Ukuba amaxabiso erayisi yamazwe ngamazwe ayaqhubeka nokunyuka, kubalulekile ukulungisa imithombo yengqolowa yasekhaya, enokutshintsha indlela yorhwebo lwerayisi yaseTshayina kwaye ivule ithuba elihle lokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwerayisi.
Ngomhla wama-20 kuJulayi, imakethi yerayisi yamazwe ngamazwe yachaphazeleka kakhulu, kwaye iIndiya yakhupha umthetho omtsha wokuthintela ukuthunyelwa kwerayisi kwamanye amazwe, ogubungela i-75% ukuya kwi-80% yokuthunyelwa kwerayisi eIndiya. Ngaphambi koku, amaxabiso erayisi kwihlabathi liphela ayenyuke nge-15% -20% ukusukela ngoSeptemba 2022.
Emva koko, amaxabiso erayisi aqhubeka nokunyuka, ixabiso lerayisi elisemgangathweni laseThailand linyuke nge-14%, ixabiso lerayisi laseVietnam linyuke nge-22%, kunye nexabiso lerayisi emhlophe laseIndiya linyuke nge-12%. Ngo-Agasti, ukuze kuthintelwe abathumeli ngaphandle ukuba bangawuphuli umthetho, iIndiya iphinde yabeka intlawulo eyongezelelweyo ye-20% kwiirayisi ezithunyelwa ngaphandle ngomphunga kwaye yamisela ixabiso elincinci lokuthengisa irayisi enuka kamnandi yaseIndiya.
Ukuvalwa kokuthunyelwa kwerayisi eIndiya nako kube nefuthe elikhulu kwimarike yamazwe ngamazwe. Ukuvalwa akukhange kubangele kuphela ukuvalwa kokuthunyelwa kwerayisi eRashiya nakwi-United Arab Emirates, kodwa kukwakhokelele ekuthengweni kwerayisi ngoloyiko kwiimarike ezifana ne-United States ne-Canada.
Ekupheleni kuka-Agasti, iMyanmar, ilizwe lesihlanu ngobukhulu emhlabeni elithumela irayisi kwamanye amazwe, nayo ibhengeze ukuvalwa kweentsuku ezingama-45 kokuthunyelwa kwerayisi kwamanye amazwe. Ngomhla woku-1 kuSeptemba, iiPhilippines zaqalisa umda wexabiso ukunciphisa ixabiso lokuthengisa irayisi. Kwelinye icala elihle, kwintlanganiso ye-ASEAN eyayibanjwe ngo-Agasti, iinkokheli zathembisa ukugcina ukujikeleza kakuhle kweemveliso zezolimo kwaye ziphephe ukusebenzisa imiqobo "engenangqiqo" yorhwebo.
Kwangaxeshanye, ukuqina kwesiganeko se-El Niñ o kummandla wePasifiki kunokukhokelela ekwehleni kwemveliso yerayisi evela kubathengisi abakhulu baseAsia kunye nokunyuka okukhulu kwamaxabiso.
Ngenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso erayisi kumazwe ngamazwe, amazwe amaninzi angenisa irayisi kwamanye amazwe aye ahlupheka kakhulu kwaye kwafuneka aqalise imiqathango eyahlukeneyo yokuthenga. Kodwa ngokuchaseneyo, njengomvelisi omkhulu kunye nomthengi werayisi eTshayina, ukusebenza ngokubanzi kwimarike yerayisi yasekhaya kuzinzile, kwaye izinga lokukhula liphantsi kakhulu kunelo lemarike yamazwe ngamazwe, kwaye akukho manyathelo olawulo asetyenzisiweyo. Ukuba amaxabiso erayisi kumazwe ngamazwe aqhubeka nokunyuka kwinqanaba elilandelayo, irayisi yaseTshayina inokuba nethuba elihle lokuthumela kwamanye amazwe.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Okthobha-07-2023