IBrazil iceba ukwandisa intsimi yombona nengqolowa ngo-2022/23 ngenxa yokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nemfuno, ngokutsho kwengxelo ye-USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS), kodwa ngaba kuya kubakho okwaneleyo eBrazil ngenxa yengxabano kummandla woLwandle oluMnyama? Izichumisi zisengumba. Ummandla wombona kulindeleke ukuba wande nge-1 yezigidi zeehektare ukuya kwi-22.5 yezigidi zeehektare, kunye nemveliso eqikelelwa kwi-22.5 yezigidi zeetoni. I-acre yengqolowa iya kunyuka iye kwi-3.4 yezigidi zeehektare, kunye nemveliso efikelela phantse kwi-9 yezigidi zeetoni.
Imveliso yombona iqikelelwa ukuba inyuke nge-3% ukusuka kunyaka-mali wokuthengisa odlulileyo kwaye ibeka irekhodi elitsha. IBrazil ngumvelisi nomthengisi wombona wesithathu ngobukhulu kwihlabathi liphela. Abalimi baya kuthintelwa ngamaxabiso aphezulu kunye nokufumaneka kwezichumisi. Umbona utya i-17% yesichumisi esisetyenziswa yiBrazil, esona sichumisi sikhulu kwihlabathi liphela, i-FAS itshilo. Ababoneleli abaphambili baquka iRussia, iKhanada, iTshayina, iMorocco, iUnited States kunye neBelarus. Ngenxa yengxabano e-Ukraine, imakethi ikholelwa ukuba ukuhamba kwezichumisi zaseRashiya kuya kuncipha kakhulu, okanye kuyeke kulo nyaka nakulo uzayo. Amagosa karhulumente waseBrazil afune izivumelwano nabathengisi abakhulu bezichumisi abavela eCanada ukuya kuMbindi Mpuma nakuMntla Afrika ukuze bazalise isithintelo esilindelekileyo, i-FAS itshilo. Nangona kunjalo, imakethi ilindele ukuba ukunqongophala kwezichumisi kube yinto engenakuphepheka, umbuzo kuphela kukuba isithintelo siya kuba sikhulu kangakanani. Ukuthunyelwa kombona kwangaphambili ngo-2022/23 kuqikelelwa kwi-45 yezigidi zeetoni, ukunyuka kwe-1 yezigidi zeetoni ukusuka kunyaka ophelileyo. Olu qikelelo luxhaswa kulindelo lwesivuno esitsha esirekhodiweyo kwixesha elizayo, esiya kushiya izinto ezininzi ezikhoyo zokuthumela kwamanye amazwe. Ukuba imveliso iphantsi kunokuba bekulindelwe ekuqaleni, ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe nako kusenokuba phantsi.
Ummandla wengqolowa kulindeleke ukuba unyuke ngama-25 ekhulwini ukusuka kwixesha elidlulileyo. Uqikelelo lwesivuno sokuqala luqikelelwa kwiitoni eziyi-2.59 ngehektare nganye. Xa kujongwa uqikelelo lwemveliso, i-FAS ithe imveliso yengqolowa yaseBrazil ingadlula irekhodi langoku ngeetoni ezimalunga nezigidi ezi-2. Ingqolowa iya kuba sisityalo sokuqala esikhulu esityalwe eBrazil phakathi koloyiko lokungabikho kwezichumiso. I-FAS iqinisekisile ukuba uninzi lwezivumelwano zokufaka izicelo zezityalo zasebusika zazisayiniwe ngaphambi kokuba kuqale ingxabano, kwaye ukuhanjiswa ngoku kuyaqhubeka. Nangona kunjalo, kunzima ukuqikelela ukuba i-100% yesivumelwano iya kuzalisekiswa na. Ukongeza, akucaci ukuba abo bavelisi balima iimbotyi zesoya kunye nombona baya kukhetha ukugcina ezinye izibonelelo zezi zityalo. Ngokufana nombona nezinye izinto, abanye abavelisi bengqolowa banokukhetha ukunciphisa ukuchumisa ngenxa yokuba amaxabiso abo encitshiswa kwimarike, i-FAS ibeke uqikelelo lwayo lokuthumela ingqolowa kwamanye amazwe ngo-2022/23 kwi-3 yezigidi zeetoni kwinani elilinganayo lengqolowa. Olu qikelelo luqwalasela isantya esomeleleyo sokuthumela ngaphandle esibonwe kwisiqingatha sokuqala sika-2021/22 kunye nolindelo lokuba imfuno yengqolowa yehlabathi iya kuhlala iqinile ngo-2023. I-FAS ithe: “Ukuthumela ngaphandle ngaphezulu kwe-1 yezigidi zeetoni zengqolowa lutshintsho olukhulu kwiBrazil, edla ngokuthumela ngaphandle inxalenye encinci yemveliso yayo yengqolowa, malunga ne-10%. Ukuba olu rhwebo lwengqolowa luyaqhubeka kangangeekota ezimbalwa, imveliso yengqolowa yaseBrazil isenokukhula kakhulu kwaye ibe ngumthengisi wengqolowa ohamba phambili kwihlabathi.”
Ixesha lokuthumela: Epreli-10-2022